• iopq@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    0
    ·
    10 months ago

    3000 is not a small sample size. 30 is a small sample size.

    Presidential polls are often done with this, or even smaller sample sizes.

    • 𝕯𝖎𝖕𝖘𝖍𝖎𝖙@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      0
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      10 months ago

      This may surprise you to know but America has a little over 3000 people in it. Some estimate the number to be over 1,000,000!

      Now, if we estimate the american population to be at 1,000,000, that means 3,000 is a sample size of only 0.3%.

      Now, 0.3% may seem like a large number and indeed it is when compared to 30, which would be a sample size of 0.03%.

      I wonder how big the working population of america is?

      United States Employed Persons was reported at 161,183,000.000 Person in Dec 2023 See the table below for more data.

      Hmm, so it seems 161,183,000 is a bit larger than 1,000,000. It’s actually about 161.183 times my original estimate! That would make 3,000 people bout 0.001%.

      Now, 0.001% is a very small number.

      • iopq@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        10 months ago

        You might want to look up sampling. If the sample is randomly distributed, you can calculate the chance that the given data is because of sampling error.

        You see, it doesn’t matter what the total population is for the sampling error. It only matters what your number of samples is and the absolute difference between the groups.