Summary

Advisers to Donald Trump acknowledge that resolving the Ukraine war could take months, contradicting Trump’s campaign pledge of a “Day One” peace deal.

Trump’s incoming envoy, Keith Kellogg, suggested a 100-day target, but analysts consider even that timeline overly optimistic.

Russia has shown limited interest in proposed peace plans, and Trump’s team is contemplating freezing battle lines and offering Ukraine security guarantees.

Progress has been slow, hampered by diplomatic complexities and legal concerns, such as Kellogg postponing a pre-inauguration Kyiv visit due to the Logan Act.

  • JustinA
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    5 hours ago

    I think most of the western analysts think that this would be a possible compromise. Allowing Russia to hold Crimea and donbass, at least defacto, and Ukraine joins nato to prevent further incursion by Russia.

      • JustinA
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        edit-2
        2 hours ago

        Yeah, I think current polling shows that 60% of Ukrainians would be against such a deal, but 30% is also not far off from a majority.

        Worth keeping in mind that Putin’s wargoals continue to be the puppeting of all of Ukraine, and he would not accept Ukrainian NATO membership, either.

        Good analysis on the current state of the war:

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf2vSoWsmgI

        The “What limits ukraine” section discusses the war support polling in Ukraine.